Cognitive Behavioral TheoryMachine LearningConsumer PsychologyNutritional PsychologyInternet of Behaviors

Behavioral Psychology

From a lockdown certification to three published papers — cognitive decision-making, nutritional psychology, and consumer behavior

A three-year research arc that started with Yale and Wesleyan psychology certifications during COVID, got a hard push from the Domino's data breach, and ended with three published papers: cognitive decision-making (Springer IACC 2021), nutritional psychology with 98% ML accuracy (Springer ICEI 2022), and online consumer behavior under the Internet of Behaviors framework (CRC Press 2023).

At a glance

Cognitive Behavioral TheoryMachine LearningConsumer PsychologyNutritional PsychologyInternet of Behaviors
3papers published·Springer International Publishing — CCIS (IACC 2021)

The Story

2020
FOUNDATION

The Spark — Psychology Certifications

During COVID lockdown I found myself with time and curiosity. Two courses — Introduction to Psychology (Yale via Coursera) and Social Psychology with Honors (Wesleyan via Coursera) — changed the way I read people. The concepts of social influence, cognitive biases, and behavioral conditioning explained everything around me.

Yale + Wesleyan Certifications
2020–2021
CBTFREUD

Behavioral Theory — CBT and Freud

B.F. Skinner's Cognitive Behavioral Theory gave me a structure for understanding decision-making in everyday contexts — food, money, digital behavior. Freud's psychodynamic perspective added a different layer: the unconscious motivations behind consumer behavior, social media use, and herd mentality.

May 2021
DATA LEAKCATALYST

The Domino's Signal — 13 Crore Records Exposed

In May 2021, the Domino's India data breach leaked approximately 13 crore customer records — order histories, addresses, phone numbers, delivery patterns. College-age users had distinct, repeated consumption patterns nobody thought they were broadcasting. The breach made visible what was always happening silently. This was the catalyst.

Economic Times — Domino's Data Breach Report
May 4–10, 2021
SURVEY DESIGN

Paper 1 — Designing the Cognitive Questionnaire

Inspired by the Domino's signal and Skinner's behavioral theory, I designed a three-section questionnaire to map how people make decisions. The survey ran for exactly 7 days — May 4 to May 10, 2021 — targeting youth (15–20), adults (20–24), and millennials (25+) across social media platforms.

3-Section Questionnaire Taxonomy

Paper 1 — Questionnaire Taxonomy

SectionQuestion TypeSample Questions
IntroductoryDemographicName · Age group (Youth/Adult/Millennial) · Social media platforms used
Choice-BasedBehavioral ScenarioGiver/Matcher/Taker self-ID · Criminal forgiveness scenario · Argument behavior
Decision MakingCognitive PreferenceFirst priority (Family/Friends/World/Nation/Self) · Choose Love/Peace/Wealth/Money · Social validation importance
Paper 1 questionnaire taxonomy diagram
Paper 1 — Questionnaire Taxonomy. Three sections: Introductory (demographic), Choice-Based (behavioral scenarios), and Decision Making (cognitive preference). Distributed across social media platforms over 7 days to capture cross-demographic responses.
December 2021
PUBLISHED

Paper 1 Published — Springer IACC

The cognitive decision-making paper was published in the International Advanced Computing Conference proceedings (Springer CCIS). ML algorithms classified respondents into 5 distinct behavioral clusters. The largest cluster (41%) showed the merciful-silent type: people who forgive, stay quiet, and feel special about their lives. COVID had shifted values — family rose above success in measurable ways.

Springer IACC 2021 — Paper 1

Table 5 — Meaningful Insights from Obtained Data

ClusterBehavioral Profile% of Respondents
1Merciful mindset · Feels special about life · Stays silent in arguments41.04%
2Chooses peace · Stays silent · Forgives others' mistakes31.79%
3Prioritizes family above all · Stays silent in arguments31.21%
4Chooses success over love/wealth/peace · Stays silent6.21%
5Feels special in life · Taker rather than Giver—

Cluster Distribution — % of Survey Respondents

Paper 1 cluster insights visualization
Paper 1 — Cluster Insights. Visualization of the 5 behavioral clusters. Cluster 1 (Merciful-Silent, 41.04%) and Cluster 3 (Family-First, 31.21%) together represent nearly 75% of respondents — a strong COVID-era signal of values shifting toward forgiveness and family.
Jan 2021 – Mar 2022
SURVEY DESIGN

Paper 3 — Designing the Consumer Behavior Survey

Concurrently with Paper 1 publication, I began designing a 30-question survey to map how social media usage drives online purchasing decisions across India. The survey ran for 14 months. Three age cohorts: Teen (11–19), Adult (20–40), Mature (40+). Out of 1,500 collected, 1,438 were verified.

30-Question Consumer Behavior Survey

Paper 3 — Survey Scope

AttributeValue
Questions30
GeographyPan-India
Survey windowJanuary 2021 – March 2022 (14 months)
Responses collected1,500
Responses verified1,438
Age cohortsTeen (11–19) · Adult (20–40) · Mature (40+)
Distribution platformsInstagram · WhatsApp · LinkedIn · Facebook
2020
SURVEY DESIGN

Paper 2 — Nutritional Psychology Survey

During COVID lockdown, I re-administered an existing dietary habit survey to the MIT-WPU engineering cohort I had been tracking. The pandemic had just reshaped eating behavior on campus and the data confirmed it. This second wave of responses, layered on top of the 2018–2019 baseline, created a before-and-after dataset that would later be the backbone of the nutritional psychology paper.

Longitudinal Dietary Survey — MIT-WPU

Paper 2 — Survey Scope

AttributeValue
InstitutionMIT-WPU School of Engineering
Sample size150+ students
Age range19–22 years
Gender split71.21% male · 28.78% female
Collection window2018–2019 baseline + 2020 post-COVID wave
Residence65% hostel · 33% Pune locals · 52% metro cities
Paper 2 questionnaire taxonomy diagram
Paper 2 — Survey Taxonomy. The questionnaire captured dietary frequency, BMI self-reports, sickness history, food quality preferences, and monthly food spend. The same instrument was administered pre-COVID (2018–2019) and post-COVID (2020), enabling direct behavioral comparison.
November 2022
PUBLISHED

Paper 2 Published — Nutritional Psychology, 98% Accuracy

Published in the Springer ICEI 2022 proceedings. The nutritional psychology paper analyzed dietary shifts in MIT-WPU engineering students across a 2018–2020 window — pre and post-COVID. Decision Tree on sickness frequency hit 98% accuracy. Random Forest on BMI hit 96.53%. Pre-COVID, 50% ate healthy. Post-COVID, that rose to 83%+.

Springer Nature Singapore — ICEI 2022

Respondent Demographics

AttributeValue
Age range19–22 years
Male / Female71.21% / 28.78%
From Pune (local)33%
From metro cities52%
Hostel students65%
Survey period2018–2020 (Pre & Post COVID tracked)
Sample size150+ MIT-WPU School of Engineering students
November 2022 · Results
ML RESULTS

Paper 2 — Model Accuracy Breakdown

Five prediction targets were tested using classification and regression models. The headline 98% accuracy (Decision Tree on frequency of falling sick) validated the hypothesis that behavioral signals from food patterns could predict health outcomes with a degree of precision traditional dietary surveys never achieved.

Table 2 — Classification Model Results

TargetModelAccuracy
BMI CategoryDecision Tree83.26%
BMI CategoryMultinomial Bayes83.72%
Frequency of Falling SickDecision Tree98.00%
Frequency of Falling SickGaussian Bayes97.82%
Infection LingeringDecision Tree86.04%
Infection LingeringMultinomial Bayes90.69%
Pre/Post-COVID Food ScheduleDecision Tree79.06%
Food Quality PreferenceMultinomial Bayes79.06%

ML Model Accuracy by Target Variable

May 2023
PUBLISHEDIoB

Paper 3 Published — IoB Consumer Psychology

The paper that brought the three-year track together. The 1,438-person pan-India survey on social media and purchasing behavior confirmed most of what the earlier work had pointed toward. Adults (20–40) drove 72.36% of all orders. Instagram dominated at 75% average. Time on social media had a direct gradient effect — more time correlated with more purchases.

CRC Press — Internet of Behaviors Book Chapter

Paper 3 — Key Survey Statistics

MetricValue
Responses collected / verified1,500 / 1,438
Survey periodJanuary 2021 – March 2022
Survey questions30
GeographyIndia (pan-India respondents)
Teen (11–19) share11.97%
Adult (20–40) share65%
Mature (40+) share23.03%
Adult share of total orders72.36%
Peak age for orders20–24 years (9.116%)
Respondents spending >₹4,000/order78.28%
Peak purchase monthNovember (Diwali season) — 13.64%
Instagram avg interaction75%
Bar chart: Social media platform usage by age group
Fig 1 — Platform Usage by Age Group. Instagram leads across all segments (Adult 76.45%, Mature 73.72%, Teen 73.84%). LinkedIn shows strong adult adoption (67.24%). Snapchat: Adult 66.92%, Mature 68.88%, Teen 68.02%. Facebook ~50% across all groups.
Bar chart: Time spent on social media vs. purchasing influence
Fig 6 — Time on Social Media vs. Purchase Influence. Direct gradient: <1 hour = 38.53% buy-influenced; 1–2 hours = 40.05%; >2 hours = 45.08%. The No share drops as time increases (40.60% to 34.20%), confirming prolonged exposure raises purchase intent.
Bar chart: Home appliance purchase influenced by gender, age group, and social media
Fig 11 — Home Appliance Purchases by Gender x Age x Social Media Influence. Adult females: 30.20% influenced. Adult males: 31.07% uninfluenced. Mature females: 9.26% influenced. Teen females: 5.64% — a strong generational and gender split in social media's sway over high-value product decisions.
2023–Present

One Narrative, Three Papers

The three-year arc from the Yale certification to the published IoB paper — cognitive decision-making (Springer IACC 2021), nutritional psychology (Springer ICEI 2022), and consumer behavior under the IoB framework (CRC Press 2023). Three separate surveys, three different scales of analysis, one consistent thread: behavioral data is measurable and interpretable with the right methodology.

Published Papers

Machine Learning-Based Psychology: A Study to Understand Cognitive Decision-Making

Springer International Publishing — CCIS (IACC 2021) · 2021

Parth Rainchwar · Soham Wattamwar · Rishikesh Mate · Chirag Sahasrabudhe · Varsha Naik

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-95502-1_14

Applied machine learning algorithms to a custom 3-section questionnaire on cognitive decision-making, mapping respondents across youth (15–20), adult (20–24), and millennial (25+) age groups into distinct behavioral clusters.

ML ClassificationClusteringBehavioral Mapping

41.04%

Cluster 1 — Merciful Mindset

31.79%

Cluster 2 — Peace Seekers

31.21%

Cluster 3 — Family First

Key findings: 5 behavioral clusters identified. Largest: 41.04% 'merciful-silent' profile (forgiven, peace-seeking). Cluster 3 shows 31.21% prioritizing family — a measurable COVID-era shift in values. Demonstrated ML can classify psychological states with high granularity.

Presentation Certificate

Presentation certificate

Machine Learning for Prediction of Nutritional Psychology, Fast Food Consumption and Its Impact on Students

Springer Nature Singapore — LNEE (ICEI 2022) · 2022

Parth P. Rainchwar · Rishikesh S. Mate · Soham M. Wattamwar · Dency R. Pambhar · Varsha Naik

DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-4634-1_80

Multi-model ML study analyzing the relationship between fast food consumption, BMI, and sickness in college students. Five prediction targets tested. Pre-COVID vs Post-COVID eating behavior tracked explicitly.

Random ForestNaive BayesExtremely Randomized TreesDecision TreeRidge RegressionLinear Regression

98%

Sickness Prediction (Decision Tree)

96.53%

BMI Prediction (Random Forest)

83%+

Post-COVID Healthy Eating

Key findings: Decision Tree on sickness frequency = 98% accuracy. Random Forest on BMI = 96.53%. Post-COVID healthy eating jumped from 50% to 83%+. Hostel students spent avg ₹9,000/month on food; metro hostel students ₹10,500/month.

Analytical Study on Consumer Social and Behavioral Psychology and Its Influence on Online Purchasing

CRC Press — Internet of Behaviors (IoB) Book Chapter · 2023

Parth P. Rainchwar · Rishikesh S. Mate · Soham M. Wattamwar · Shilpa Sonawani · Aditya Gaisamudre

DOI: 10.1201/9781003388722

Final synthesis applying B.F. Skinner's CBT to digital consumer behavior. 30-question survey across India mapping how social media platform usage, time online, and age group influence online purchasing decisions under the Internet of Behaviors framework.

Data AnalyticsTableauExcelStatistical Analysis

72.36%

Adult Share of Orders

75%

Instagram Influence Avg

45.08%

>2hr Social Media → Buy

Key findings: Adults (20–40) drove 72.36% of all orders. Instagram led platform influence at 75% average. Prolonged social media use directly drives purchases — >2 hours = 45.08% buy-influenced vs 38.53% for <1 hour. November (Diwali) = 13.64% peak purchase month.
Also appears in: E-commerce Behavioral Analysis →

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